#630club with Scott Redler – Stock Market Analysis

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2024-05-09 22:54:44

Unlocking Market Trends: #630club with Scott Redler – A Thorough Analysis

In the intricate world of stock market trading, having a keen understanding of market trends and developing effective trading strategies are crucial for success. Scott Redler, the chief strategic officer and a seasoned market analyst, delves into these aspects in his video series "#630club." This article provides a comprehensive summary and analysis of a typical session, offering key insights into stock market maneuvers, the role of market indicators, and trading tips.

The Essence of the #630club Series

At its core, the #630club series with Scott Redler revolves around the examination of current market conditions, active trading strategies, and foreseeing potential financial movements that could benefit traders in short-term cash flows and long-term investments. The analysis frequently includes evaluations of various stock indices and individual stocks, providing a broad perspective that appeals to diverse trading interests.

A Morning with the Market: Opening Analysis

Starting off with casual references to pop culture and sports, Scott Redler sets an informal yet insightful tone for the episode. His reference to the New York Knicks—emphasizing hustle over mere talent—parallels his philosophy on trading: effort combined with strategic insight generally outperforms reliance on flair alone.

Delving into Market Dynamics

The discussion transitions into specifics with examination of key indices such as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), known as the "Spies". Redler discusses its recent movement patterns, using them as a case study to illuminate broader market sentiment. For instance, Redler analyses the SPY’s performance post-Federal Reserve announcements, assessing their implications on market trends.

Key Trading Concepts Explained

In this part of the session, Redler often touches upon advanced trading concepts and mechanisms like the "Red Dog Reversal", a technique that traders can leverage when certain price action patterns emerge.

The Importance of Technical Indicators

Redler emphasizes the role of technical indicators like the oscillators in identifying market states—whether overbought or oversold. This detailed analysis helps traders understand when to enter or exit positions, enhancing their chances of making calculated moves.

Evaluating Stocks: From Apple to Amazon

The session covers a range of popular stocks, providing specific trading advice. For instance, Redler discusses Apple Inc., highlighting its potential trading strategies based on recent performances and earnings predictions. By juxtaposing it with other tech giants, such as Amazon and Microsoft, it provides a comparative analysis helping traders spot opportunities across the technology sector.

Understanding Market Sentiment and Technical Setups

Beyond individual stocks, understanding market sentiment and foundational technical setups such as "bull flags" is crucial. These are patterns that signify potential upwards movement after a consolidative period. Redler often educates his audience on recognizing these formations and effectively capitalizing on them.

Strategic Trading Advice

Long-Term Positioning and Swing Trading

One of the focal points of #630club sessions involves strategic advice for both intermediate and long-term trading positions. This includes discussing the potential implications of economic data releases and corporate earnings that may affect broader market movements.

Trading Different Asset Classes

Redler’s analysis is not limited to stocks alone; he explores other asset classes such as cryptocurrencies. Taking Bitcoin as an example, he explores its volatility and trading strategies that might suit different types of traders.

Reading Beyond the Market

One of the values Redler instills is the ability to look beyond conventional wisdom and anticipate market narratives that might drive future trends, such as expected federal actions in response to economic data.

Conclusion: Enhancing Your Trading Arsenal

Clearly, #630club sessions, as dissected through the knowledge-laden dialogue of Scott Redler, serve as a crucial tool for traders. By understanding market indicators, evaluating stock and asset performance, and aligning with long-term economic trends, traders can enhance their decision-making processes and, ideally, their profitability. Engaging with such analyses regularly offers an educational foundation and a competitive edge in the fast-paced trading environment.

Understanding Market Narratives

By understanding subtle cues and narratives that drive market behavior, traders can adapt their strategies to align with these overarching stories, potentially securing more favorable outcomes in their trading endeavors.

Continuous Learning and Adaptation

Lastly, Redler’s sessions underscore the importance of continuous learning and adaptation in trading. Markets evolve, and so should the strategies and approaches employed by traders aiming to stay ahead. Regularly tuning in to expert analyses like the #630club can be a significant part of this ongoing education.

By integrating these insights and strategies into your daily trading routines, you can better navigate the complexities of the markets and refine your approaches for improved results.

Watch this video below for the full details:



2024-05-09 22:54:44
Visit https://www.t3live.com/630club to get Scott’s eBook today.

Scott Redler previews the market action with full analysis of #SPX #QQQ #Nvidia #Apple, #Tesla and more!

Video transcript:
there I am all right Little Billy Joel in the morning can’t go wrong with that I guess I’m dating myself kind of like back to the 90s Nicks but we now have the 2024 Nicks what a hustling group right banging the boards love to see it you know you can get sometimes you get a a lot more with hustle than you do with uh you know a little Talent right what do they say anyway um with that being said same thing goes with trading right you know you could be a talented Trader but if you don’t put in the time if you don’t put in the the process and you don’t prepare yourself you’re never going to be able execute with confidence so let’s get moving this morning my name is Scott rler I’m the chief strategic officer this is your 6:30 Club where I try and figure out how you guys can make some cash flow with the red dog and also position yourself for intermediate in the long term and you know work on the process while we do it so let me see if some of my dogs are awake it’s Thursday maybe we’re up late watching the game I know I was what do we got we got Bill Myers in the house from South Texas Jeffrey K how about those Knicks I tell you it’s great to watch Brunson my son is a you know basketball player and he might be lucky enough to be 61 so it’s good to see that you could have a 6-2 point guard doing what he’s doing you don’t have to be 65 just gotta be tough as nails and hustle anyway um what up Santo what up thob what up Dallas how’s it going Ali what up Eric all right everyone’s like red do what’s happening here you know are are we digesting and rolling over or are we digesting to then making an assault on the all-time highs that we put in you know six seven weeks ago at this point all I know is uh into uh Tuesday I posted a lot about the oscillated being plus 60 that we should pause here we were selling premium trying to you know be a little bit flexible and now we are uh you know here we are so with that being said let’s take a quick look at the spies what up Bobby 4.0 my boy from Tampa one of the best out there so here’s the spies right you take a look at it um from the post fed Thursday morning Red Dog reversal hold them yet had a 4-day move into a bit of a then what happened yesterday pre-market um it broke below the prior low and gave you 515 if you remember I did post to Twitter I’m like hey guys I would rather be a seller into this 51 18ish for a move to maybe 515 maybe 51 13ish and at this point you know all we did is hit 514 I mean 5:15 so with that being said this morning Futures are down a little bit which I think is pretty impressive you know lately some of the earnings plays have getting really beat up what do I mean what do I mean well you know yes yesterday you had uh what’s it called shop get crushed you had Uber get crushed this morning Airbnb is getting crushed um you know uh arm so with that being said we’re holding him pretty well I was on Fox Business yesterday with Liz and Liz is like what’s going to take the S&P back to an all-time high you know is it earnings I’m like it’s not like you know every every every few months is a different narrative that drives the market what’s probably going to be the next narrative is that um we we continue to get some weaker data so it gives the FED um pretty much some room to do what they’re going to start calling maintenance Cuts you know you’re going to hear all the different languages you’re going to start hearing this I’m usually head of the game with the language that the the Talking Heads like to speak so if you know if they’re going to cut in September a quarter or a quarter it’s not going to make a difference but that’ll keep rates in this four and a half percent area Market’s not going to want 5% no more and we don’t have to go below 4% Market has threshold so if we you know if we stay in this area and we get this Goldy loish feel you know there is a chance I think that this 524 gets taken out but it’s going to take some time we’re heading into the summer and there’s not going to be a whole lot of catalyst next week you have the CPI and PPI so you got to contain the fingers meaning don’t overtrade all right so with that being said we’ll see do we hold above 515 and go green do we develop some kind of highlevel you know bull flag what’s a bull flag you guys know what a bull flag is every Saturday I post those those cheat sheets so you know does this go out does this create a bull flag let the moving averages catch up or do we break this and make the flag a little bit lower you know um but we’ll see so at this point you know tactical uh Longs and a little bit of shorts like I’m shorts some premium I’m Longs some stocks I’m trying to figure out if there’s going to be you know some some more upside what are some of the names you know someone’s like red dog you know Apple not so bad okay so if you look at Apple here you know it’s has doesn’t have much traction which it doesn’t okay but overall um you know not the end of the world here right if you want it to be long apple as an active swing and you think the BuyBacks If the sellers already happen the BuyBacks going to kick in I think you could be long Apple verse 18043 let it go sideways let it digest above this and then at some point maybe takes that out for a better trade so that is calculated I’m long a little apple my stop is here okay and we’ll see if it could actually wind up getting a little bit better what’s that going to be it’s have to get above this area so you know that that’s not so bad I wouldn’t say it’s an A+ play but you know it is Apple to me that’s a you know it’s it’s something to think about um I am still on Amazon yesterday Amazon could have gotten really hit because you had Shopify getting down like 18% and what did uh Amazon do Amazon did actually a little red dog reversal um I was long Amazon on you know but I’ve been longing for a while you know it went below 18731 came back above it’s going sideways I would think if once the Market’s done digesting this area wants to continue you know Amazon could be something that does work its way higher you know it could so I like it um that’s a nice type of trade different type of trade that I think is over we spoke about five days ago about how meta and Netflix are programmed together and could probably fill those post earnings gaps and that happened now it’s a little bit more difficult what do I mean well here is the gap post earnings and now it’s filled look how symmetrical that is so that trade’s over now we have to figure out a new trade there I not in that Netflix actually went even further Netflix filled this Gap here okay triggered there so that was your long if you were looking to be long Netflix it held this bottom end and now one 2 3 4 5 six seven days up um I do think some guys probably started some guys like uh Play The Gap F long and then as soon as the gaps feel like I’m shorting it here and and it could go a little bit more so they they probably squeeze some shorts into into that move but now there’s no setup sometimes it’s a setup sometimes it’s just to buy the dip and massage there’s no tradable setup here this was a spot to buy and then when it got into this Gap and now it’s like H not much to do there um I do kind of think Microsoft is a little bit more interesting you know if they they were so concerned about you know uh antitrust trust and this and that you know why is uh you know the Biden Administration putting a few billion dollars into it so at this point you know you change this pattern up a little bit right um you’re holding here um you have another area and uh with that being said it it’s been in this range now pretty much since since February so really actually you know since Janu in January Microsoft was in the exact same spot here we are in May so that’s February March April May for four months and uh so that there is a chance that this you know could get above here and continue back towards 430 I think if you wanted to be long Microsoft maybe you could be long verse 46 what’s Microsoft doing today Microsoft is you know down 12 cents so um I think that’s a good setup because you could buy ADV verse here you know goes through there has room to the highs hasn’t done anything so I’m just trying to you know come up with good you know setups oh toast what up time Direction toast was one of the names for my 2024 report it now has a post earnings move look at that I listed it way down here I’m not in it but guys from my report are in it some guys buy all the names that I put on there and if you did you’re making freaking a lot of money anyway toast uh yeah you know um really nice response um if you if you want to be long versus Pro earnings Gap type of thing now it did clear this area this area was a consolidating literally since February also you know there are some other names out there besides Mega cap Tech I I agree time so if you in that one congratulations now this can continue Qualcomm you know some guys like what about Qualcomm well you know little Wishy wasi here but Qualcomm also you know uh showed that names could still you know break above and hold Pro earnings Gap so it’s just choppy you know it’s a little choppy right now um I’m not in qualcom but I guess if you are in it you know yesterday was a pretty uh important day how you have a low or higher low and let it go sideways you know it’s looking really good guys you know and I’m not a big advocate of it um look how look how Li look at Lily right here Lily you know was a really great trade for my team right here the start the year January 2nd if you remember was a power play and now Lily literally has been going sideways for um for since February since February Lily’s been consolidating a huge huge move granted I’ve never I don’t I would rather you get outside run up a mountain jog up a mountain sweating the S going in a nice Barrel you know cut out some sugars and carbs and take a pill but if you have to take a pill I get it but overall you know this is a nice looking consolidation maybe if you think it’s going to break above 800 um what’s what’s the next earnings here the earnings are uh oh April 30th actually no did they they already happened um what anyway um yeah yeah they did happen that was that right so anyway um I I would think you go out two months three months and if you want to do a call spread you could do a call spread because once it gets over over 800 you know you probably be on your way towards 9950 so maybe do like an 8 by 850 you know not not a bad looking setup outside uh Tech you know um so just everyone’s like red dog give me a different name outside Tech so here you go Lily okay but it does trade a little erratically so to me I would probably just do a call spread and forget about it it’s like you put on the swing you could probably do like 800 by 850 and you’re probably you know spending 15 to make you know 35 which isn’t bad or just wait for it to trigger above it or you know be long verse 762 or be long verse here so a lot of different ways to do it you just have to Define your risk anyway um what else so so arm is getting beat up you know arm uh you know has has not been technically great I actually took a little call spread which is going to lose um arm right now is down uh eight okay so if you look at arm that arm in this arm what’s the recent low 86 that’s so it’s not even there um so this would this would be a big level so 86 where is it now arm where did I just say it was 97 was the the recent low so with that being said you know we’ll see how it affects Nvidia for today see you got to connect the dots the dots anyway uh this isn’t Nvidia Nvidia is right here I would think today is important for NVIDIA you know if Nidia could go from right to green and if Nvidia could uh not care really that arm came out and his down so much and be in its own little world and build this flag here I I would think that would go a long way for the action going into you know the following week so this low here is 890 what’s so look at arm is down 8% and Nvidia is only down five so it’s at 899 yesterday Nidia went from right to Green it was a great trade for cash flow you don’t always have to sit there and have it asn’t a swing you just trade the ranges um but if it could hold it again and go sideways and if it can’t go down you know with with with some of the news that’s happened in uh semi land um and chances are this you know this big range that’s been consolidating the move since 974 could wind up working higher so with that being said I will be looking at the video today for some kind of uh uh you know for opportunities and Bitcoin you know Bitcoin actually had a great buy and I was actually thinking about that th that maybe I could buy it back because I did sell my ibit into that move back to 6465 it’s also in a Range it’s you know and Bitcoin at this point we’ll see what it does it might be worth a look um here is uh the bit the coin uh it you know just the fact of the matter as though there’s you know there’s a a big range here you know this is uh it just came back up into descending trend line so it keeps getting rejected here was rejected into resistance broke down then if you remember it had the false breakdown this is when we were buying the IBI I think I sold mine into that move I didn’t wait for that and now it’s trickling so the question is will it hot low will it put a higher low in here and then finally you know take this out at some point um we shall see um you know ibit is what I play when I want to buy um Bitcoin itself if I want to position I buy bitto calls um overall though uh you have to be a little careful because again it’s kind of No Man’s Land right now if you do things in no man’s land uh you can get in trouble so we here I I I I bought into this move and now what’s this 3485 where’s ibit it’s right around here so does does Bitcoin want to fill this Gap um I don’t know you know there’s a pretty big gap here so this is 3485 this is 3480 if it were to put a low in maybe a bu Versa 3650 so you’re getting it a little bit down but again you this could be a high a lower high a lower high a lower high you know you don’t want a lower low I’m just saying so it’s got to make it stand here if it’s going to change this you know type of complexion but anyway K looking about ready I don’t remember the last time I looked at Regional Banks you know yes we had a great trade with Goldman Sachs if you remember remember we were here at the 630 club I’m like guys if it breaks above 407 you’re GNA get a really nice move well goldan was awesome you know no one really talks about the strength and go and look at that I’ve written a lot of eBooks about the E day we broke above it and then every time it hit the e day it’s been a buy um we did talk about Morgan playing catchup and now Morgan all also you know this was that one spot and now it’s above 94 making some progress I have not been so active in the banks but I always put it in my note for those who trade the banks um so you want me to look at K what’s K doing I haven’t really looked at this in a while so have to readjust so if you go like this here’s that you know make this go sideways here it’s been going sideways for a long time now um I don’t know I I kind of think it it’s tough you know but it does you know does look like it can continue higher um it’s above the moving averages nice uh channel here you can go for those of you in un you know a lot of people like red dog how did you come up with that play it was funny I was I was I was sitting there in Fox Business yesterday I did my segment and Liz had I think the CEO of some kind of natural gas company talking about how natural gas is G be the next you know power source for AI and we were talking about that back here I said accumulate the UN for the summer move well the move kind of started a little bit and I would say you don’t you never want to buy strength in the UN but you know maybe you buy dips for you know a bigger move but again this is like a pre-move it’s only may I have a feeling it’s gonna happen over the summer but anyway with that said it’s Thursday you want me to look at crowd crwd all right crowd’s you know crowd is one of the chosen ones um it it had a little bit of a move it’s going sideways um sometimes I get involved but it’s so choppy that you know the whole cyber software like cyber it’s it’s not clean I like clean moving stocks if you if you buy this you have to really just buy vers an area and let it work out you can’t really actively trade it this did give you a little bit of a move I guess and I don’t know what happened here but I would say you want to be long crowd be long crowd verse 304 you’re better off being long vers in area and not overtrading it so if you think crowd’s going to work its way back towards this you know this sellable bearish candle you know bu verse 304 add above you know 322 and then maybe you get some motion um but overall this group to me this one this looks good don’t get me wrong but it’s not the easiest active Trader where is it right now crwd is down a buck 75 so uh with that being said you know maybe you want to buy versea 515 minut a low or buy verse 304 let it flag here and if the market does resume I would think this is kind of in the game actively clh um didn’t I report yesterday n you know this was a great trade back here I remember the alpha team was talking about this Channel and had a really nice move and then uh you know kind of broke momentum right there lost the eight day moving average so it’s trying to rebuild you know again you know you have to have your go-to list and you have to have stocks and you have to watch them close and you have to feel how they look if you’re going to trade them actively this is you know when the market moves this has been a great concept type play sell you know these type of what’s this an energy drink these things come and go I’d rather trade the ones that I know will be here for for for more than that but anyway yeah it looks okay um but not not nothing compelling people like Red Dog why’d you get away from Tesla well you know Tesla to me gave us a lot of great opportunities we had a great options play Inter numbers and then you know you had that you know the autonomous driving China news and now I don’t know you know I was I was in it you know for the earnings I was in it you know into this really nice move um actually I was in it overnight for that unfortunately but anyway if you do remember two days ago it showed a lot of relative weakness and gap down yesterday filled this Gap so now this Gap is gone you know some people like well Red Dog you know you have a low you have a higher low another higher low now maybe wants to continue all right you know I guess you could like kind of say if you wanted to be long be long versus 1705 it was a better buy then sell yesterday but still to me the it’s like a Battleground stock again you know their business is slow elon’s a little you know you false narratives here and there right now if if you wanted to trade Tesla today it’s down a buck 80 sometimes it likes to go you know Green in a sea of red so maybe it’s worth a try but but it’s this is you know it’s kind of choppy it’s not acting special and if anything you know if you want to be in a swing trade you want to be in a swing trade that’s acting special so maybe today you could buy verse 1705 for it to go green you know but that’s tactical I would take that trade and if you want to hold a little bit just in case there you go all right it’s have a great day have a great day everyone listen it’s coming into summertime hopefully uh you have some good plans it’s what May 9th some of you guys put a race on the schedule that’s cool you put a race on the schedule that keeps you honest it keeps you fit has a goal they say a goal is Just a Dream unless you uh write down the plan and execute right so it’s good to have dreams but they’re not really goals and they don’t come to fruition unless you uh you know get moving on them okay so write it down make a promise to yourself and the best promise is the one are the ones you keep are the ones to yourself if you can’t keep the promises to yourself you’re not going to keep them to anyone else and you’ll be good for nobody so work on it later later Slater